Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 4.290912 4.764701 5.271360 5.853910 6.505777 7.213358 8.040443
2026-02-01 3.452950 4.093629 4.827757 5.733078 6.822147 8.093342 9.694436
2026-02-08 2.887622 3.609002 4.483146 5.624594 7.082015 8.888871 11.311620
2026-02-15 2.505707 3.272932 4.247258 5.582498 7.375946 9.717163 13.030640
2026-02-22 2.277950 3.092106 4.169294 5.709600 7.873347 10.830763 15.224006
2026-03-01 2.045370 2.870780 4.002574 5.682377 8.137111 11.631543 17.051386
2026-03-08 1.812262 2.619484 3.761744 5.513939 8.166004 12.081143 18.393636
2026-03-15 1.650099 2.450696 3.617056 5.461904 8.347219 12.754292 20.124261
2026-03-22 1.558132 2.374774 3.598087 5.590766 8.807232 13.884674 22.682557
2026-03-29 1.477966 2.307774 3.583650 5.720250 9.273359 15.060148 25.431950
2026-04-05 1.383380 2.208663 3.508413 5.741348 9.558704 15.959196 27.799291
2026-04-12 1.281816 2.088978 3.388735 5.675295 9.686222 16.596379 29.764008
2026-04-19 1.182416 1.966686 3.257781 5.583514 9.769578 17.180807 31.731815
2026-04-26 1.092215 1.852631 3.131370 5.488137 9.837263 17.744039 33.727712
2026-05-03 1.011102 1.747478 3.011253 5.392137 9.892603 18.286673 35.742345
2026-05-10 0.947332 1.667454 2.928144 5.354845 10.051469 19.035190 38.247267
2026-05-17 0.913208 1.637531 2.931509 5.477601 10.525889 20.435848 42.249431
2026-05-24 0.860989 1.570240 2.860905 5.452024 10.704799 21.265041 45.138043
2026-05-31 0.795465 1.473131 2.727134 5.291043 10.594755 21.492273 46.737284
2026-06-07 0.749789 1.410147 2.652941 5.241320 10.706528 22.187483 49.455745
2026-06-14 0.728347 1.392194 2.663932 5.364652 11.191850 23.723927 54.288166
2026-06-21 0.708171 1.375111 2.675038 5.488555 11.689053 25.334514 59.493989
2026-06-28 0.678031 1.335880 2.638748 5.508745 11.959489 26.463657 63.669993